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US labor market file
Checked 13 October 2026

Job Market Statistics: October 2026

How is the US job market doing right now?

HiringReach's October 2026 read of the official job market statistics: the US job market is slow, not collapsing. The unemployment rate was 4.2 percent in September 2026, up from 4.1 percent in August, and nonfarm payrolls rose by just 29,000 (BLS Employment Situation, released October 2). JOLTS counted 7.1 million job openings on the last business day of August and 5.2 million hires over the month (BLS JOLTS, released September 29). Employers are still recruiting. Net job growth is the slow part.

The latest official US job market statistics, translated for people who are looking. Unemployment and payrolls are from the September 2026 Employment Situation, released October 2. Openings, hires, and quits are from the August 2026 JOLTS release, published September 29. HiringReach did not invent any of these figures.

Latest BLS jobs file Checked 13 October 2026
Unemployment4.2%7.1 million people. Employment Situation, September 2026.
Payrolls+29KNonfarm change. Employment Situation, September 2026.
Job openings7.1MOpenings rate 4.3%. JOLTS, August 2026.
Hires5.2MHires rate 3.3%. JOLTS, August 2026.
Household survey, September 2026

US unemployment in September 2026: 4.2 percent, and the queue is not shrinking.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on October 2, 2026 that the US unemployment rate was 4.2 percent in September and the number of unemployed people was 7.1 million, both changed little from August. HiringReach tracks this as the headline job market statistic, and BLS itself notes the rate has stayed in a narrow range of 4.1 to 4.3 percent since March. A year earlier, in September 2025, the same BLS table shows 4.4 percent.

Look one layer down in the September 2026 Employment Situation. Long-term unemployment, people jobless for 27 weeks or more, was essentially unchanged at 1.9 million and accounted for 27.1 percent of all unemployed people. People working part time for economic reasons changed little at 4.5 million. Another 5.8 million people outside the labor force said they currently want a job, and discouraged workers, who believe no jobs are available for them, numbered 414,000.

Labor force participation was 61.8 percent in September and the employment-population ratio was 59.2 percent. BLS says both showed little net change since January. A steady unemployment rate does not tell you how many people lost a job or found one during the month. It only tells you the unemployed share of the labor force held in a narrow range. The JOLTS flows below show the movement.

4.2%

Unemployment rate, September 2026

BLS Employment Situation, released 2 October 2026. Up from 4.1% in August.
7.1M

Unemployed people

Changed little over the month. September 2025: 7.6 million.
27.1%

Share of unemployed who have been jobless 27 weeks or more

1.9 million people. September 2026 Employment Situation.
61.8%

Labor force participation rate

Changed little in September. Little net change since January 2026.
4.5M

Part time for economic reasons

Wanted full-time work and could not get it, or had hours cut.
414,000

Discouraged workers

Wanted a job, were available, and believed no jobs were available for them.
By worker group, September 2026

Job market statistics by group: young workers and first-time seekers carry the weight.

Inside the September 2026 BLS job market statistics, the overall 4.2 percent unemployment rate hides wide gaps. The teenage unemployment rate, ages 16 to 19, was 14.5 percent. The rate for Black workers rose to 7.0 percent, the one major group BLS flagged as increasing. Hispanic workers were at 4.7 percent, adult men at 3.9 percent, adult women at 3.6 percent, White workers at 3.6 percent, and Asian workers at 2.9 percent.

Education still sorts the queue. Among people 25 and older, the September unemployment rate was 2.5 percent for those with a bachelor's degree or higher and 4.4 percent for high school graduates with no college. New entrants, people looking for their first job, numbered 818,000 of the unemployed, up 116,000 from August. HiringReach reads that as the clearest sign in this release of why first jobs feel hard to land right now.

BLS does not publish a Gen Z series in the monthly Employment Situation. The 16 to 19 teenage rate and the new entrants count are the closest it gets, so HiringReach quotes those rather than inventing a generational figure.

14.5%

Teenage unemployment rate, ages 16 to 19

September 2026, up from 14.1% in August. Overall rate: 4.2%.
7.0%

Unemployment rate for Black workers

Increased in September 2026, from 6.0% in August.
818,000

Unemployed new entrants

People looking for a first job. Up 116,000 over the month.
Establishment survey, September 2026

US payroll job growth in September 2026: 29,000, and the summer was revised down.

US nonfarm payroll employment changed little in September 2026, rising by 29,000, according to the BLS establishment survey that HiringReach uses for the payroll figures in this file. That follows an average monthly gain of 45,000 over the prior 12 months. BLS said employment in all major industries changed little over the month. Health care added 17,000, slower than its 12-month average of 33,000. Construction added 11,000 and manufacturing 9,000, with manufacturing up 72,000 since a recent low in December 2025.

White-collar sectors are where the September 2026 payroll numbers look weakest. Financial activities lost 7,000 jobs and are down 129,000 since a recent peak in May 2025, most of it in insurance carriers and related activities. If you work in that field, HiringReach's guide to finance and accounting roles filled through referrals covers how those searches tend to move. Information lost 10,000 jobs in September, which is the backdrop for HiringReach's post on how software engineers find unlisted tech roles.

The September 2026 jobs report also revised the summer down. July went from plus 21,000 to minus 10,000, a cut of 31,000, and August went from plus 162,000 to plus 133,000, a cut of 29,000. Combined, July and August employment is 60,000 lower than first reported. The 162,000 August gain in last month's HiringReach edition is now 133,000.

Average hourly earnings for all private nonfarm employees edged up 5 cents to $37.81 in September, up 3.0 percent over 12 months. Production and nonsupervisory workers earned $32.60. The average workweek stayed at 34.4 hours. BLS has scheduled the October 2026 Employment Situation for Friday, November 6, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern.

up 29,000

September nonfarm payroll change

Prior 12-month average: 45,000 a month.
down 60,000

Combined July and August revision

July down 31,000. August down 29,000. From the September Employment Situation.
$37.81

Average hourly earnings, private

Up 3.0 percent over the year. Production and nonsupervisory: $32.60.
JOLTS, August 2026

US job openings and hires: employers are still recruiting, and hiring is flat.

The JOLTS job market statistics for August 2026, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on September 29, are the newest openings data in this HiringReach file. Job openings were little changed at 7.1 million, a 4.3 percent openings rate. Hires were little changed at 5.2 million, a 3.3 percent hires rate. Total separations were unchanged at 5.1 million (3.2 percent). Inside that, quits were 3.1 million (1.9 percent) and layoffs and discharges were 1.6 million (1.0 percent).

Read those two numbers with the BLS definitions in mind. An opening is a position the employer is actively recruiting for on the last business day of the month, and BLS counts networking and word-of-mouth as recruiting, so openings are not the same as public job postings. Hires count everyone added to payrolls during the whole month, so the two figures are not a backlog waiting to be filled. What August does show is hires, quits, and layoffs all roughly unchanged. If you already have a job, this can feel stable. If you need one, the monthly hires count is the closer measure of how often the door opens.

HiringReach calculated about 1.01 job openings per unemployed person from the August openings count of 7.1 million and the August unemployed count of 7.0 million. That ratio is a sketch, not a BLS official statistic. The two series come from different surveys, collected on different calendars. September unemployment rose to 7.1 million, but September openings are not out yet, so the ratio stays on matched August months.

July was revised up. Job openings for July were revised up by 64,000 to 7.3 million, and hires were revised up by 92,000 to 5.1 million. The September JOLTS release is scheduled for November 3, 2026.

7.1M

Job openings, August 2026

Rate 4.3%. Changed little in all industries.
5.2M

Hires

Rate 3.3%. Changed little over the month and the year.
3.1M

Quits

Rate 1.9%. Unchanged. Down in wholesale trade (minus 34,000).
1.6M

Layoffs and discharges

Rate 1.0%. Little changed in all industries.
363,000

Other separations

Retirement, death, disability, and transfers. Little changed.
1.01

Openings per unemployed person

HiringReach calculation from BLS August openings and unemployed counts. Not an official BLS ratio.
What job seekers report

Job seeker statistics: offer expectations are the worst in five years.

The official BLS job market statistics tell you what employers did. The New York Fed's SCE Labor Market Survey, which HiringReach adds to this file, asks people what they expect. In the July 2026 survey, the average expected likelihood of receiving at least one job offer in the next four months fell 1.1 percentage points to 18.0 percent, the lowest reading since March 2021. The drop was largest for people without a college degree, people younger than 45, and women.

More people are looking anyway. The share who reported searching for a job in the past four weeks rebounded to 24.9 percent from 22.5 percent in March 2026, with the increase largest among people earning less than $60,000 a year. The average reservation wage, the lowest pay respondents would accept for a new job, reached a series high of $88,387. The survey is fielded every four months, so July 2026 is still the newest reading.

If you want the narrative version of these numbers, read HiringReach's explainer on why the job market feels bad right now. This page stays on the monthly file.

18.0%

Expected chance of at least one job offer in the next four months

New York Fed SCE Labor Market Survey, July 2026. Lowest since March 2021.
24.9%

Share who searched for a job in the past four weeks

Up from 22.5 percent in March 2026.
$88,387

Average reservation wage

Series high in the July 2026 SCE Labor Market Survey.
What to do with this

What these job market statistics mean for your search: the bottleneck is a person.

Read together, the latest job market statistics describe a 4.3 percent openings rate, a 3.3 percent hires rate, and September payroll growth of 29,000, against a prior 12-month average of 45,000. Employers are still recruiting, and net job growth has slowed. Applying to posted roles is still worth doing when a role requires it. It is a weak only move, because the decision still sits with a hiring manager.

Some hiring starts before a posting: BLS counts networking and word-of-mouth announcements as active recruiting for a job opening. HiringReach's guide to the hidden job market explains where those roles come from, the post on networking into unposted roles covers the contact habits that lead to referrals, and the piece on how agency recruiters work the hidden job market shows the same play from the recruiter's side.

HiringReach is a private practice for reaching the person who likely owns the role. Find a likely manager or bring a name you already know, write one personal note from your own inbox, and track the follow-up. A title is a guesstimate. Starter is $49 a month with a 7-day trial: card required, $0 today, and the first successful work email starts billing. HiringReach is not a job board or a staffing agency, and it does not guarantee interviews.

Use the HiringReach method for the 90-day structure, the hidden job market playbook when nothing is posted, and how to find the hiring manager when something is.

Sources

Every number in HiringReach's job market file has a publisher.

HiringReach checked these job market statistics on 13 October 2026 against the dated BLS news release archives and the New York Fed SCE Labor Market Survey page. If a source cannot be fetched on a later refresh, the figure stays until it can.

  1. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Situation, September 2026. Dated archive, released 2 October 2026. Unemployment 4.2 percent, 7.1 million unemployed, nonfarm payrolls plus 29,000, July and August revised down a combined 60,000, participation 61.8 percent, employment-population ratio 59.2 percent, teenage unemployment 14.5 percent.
  2. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Job Openings and Labor Turnover, August 2026. Dated archive, released 29 September 2026. Openings 7.1 million, hires 5.2 million, quits 3.1 million, layoffs and discharges 1.6 million.
  3. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SCE Labor Market Survey, July 2026. Offer-arrival expectations 18.0 percent, job search 24.9 percent, reservation wage $88,387.
Questions

Job market statistics, answered

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